Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.465756 0.597459 0.739957 0.903630 1.084643 1.277144 1.495849
2025-03-30 0.270728 0.441756 0.647374 0.902828 1.203416 1.539128 1.936293
2025-04-06 0.166912 0.343768 0.576900 0.884154 1.261156 1.695238 2.221059
2025-04-13 0.118131 0.302676 0.565800 0.928373 1.386440 1.924588 2.586318
2025-04-20 0.084686 0.272442 0.560845 0.973676 1.507647 2.144818 2.937206
2025-04-27 0.061925 0.251706 0.564205 1.026220 1.635255 2.370906 3.293707
2025-05-04 0.051057 0.249275 0.592384 1.110682 1.802270 2.644038 3.705598
2025-05-11 0.036655 0.233258 0.596714 1.160415 1.923513 2.860603 4.049639
2025-05-18 0.020875 0.204142 0.575712 1.171712 1.992907 3.012112 4.314720
2025-05-25 0.005205 0.153020 0.509002 1.111595 1.964321 3.039250 4.427402
2025-06-01 0.000017 0.108706 0.443610 1.046598 1.924399 3.048665 4.515644
2025-06-08 NaN 0.082342 0.405672 1.019099 1.932272 3.116084 4.672741
2025-06-15 NaN 0.070780 0.398981 1.043793 2.017343 3.288884 4.968774
2025-06-22 NaN 0.055501 0.379438 1.046325 2.071464 3.422885 5.218655
2025-06-29 NaN 0.038509 0.347964 1.025215 2.089487 3.508152 5.406136
2025-07-06 NaN 0.035719 0.356621 1.073242 2.207216 3.723977 5.757414
2025-07-13 NaN 0.033343 0.365829 1.122035 2.326028 3.941294 6.110730
2025-07-20 NaN 0.032358 0.379406 1.178632 2.456359 4.173976 6.483652
2025-07-27 NaN 0.036549 0.411745 1.269372 2.637106 4.473528 6.941191
2025-08-03 NaN 0.035060 0.423433 1.322701 2.762919 4.700634 7.307619
2025-08-10 NaN 0.028092 0.412829 1.334803 2.827663 4.846807 7.571906
2025-08-17 NaN 0.014159 0.362761 1.270353 2.776787 4.838116 7.639310
2025-08-24 NaN 0.004803 0.312999 1.200544 2.714422 4.811724 7.682344